General election polls 2017: Who’s winning as Conservatives battle Labour?


The latest opinion polls show Labour is closing the gap with the Conservatives .

A new poll by YouGov commissioned by The Times newspaper found the Tory lead had fallen dramatically, with 42 per cent of voters saying they will vote Conservative and 39 per cent saying they will vote Labour.

It means the Conservative lead is just three points.

And this is a massive fall from when the general election campaign began in April. Some polls at the time put the Conservatives as much as 24 points ahead.

It suggests that Conservative Prime Minister Theresa May is in danger of losing her majority when the general election takes place on June 8, leading to a hung Parliament.

And it suggests it’s possible that Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn could become Prime Minister. It’s worth remembering, however, that polls have consistently put the Conservatives ahead, even if Labour is catching up.

The Liberal Democrats , led by Tim Farron, don’t seem to be doing well. Their share of the vote slipped to just 7 per cent.

Theresa May attempted to lead a fightback as he made a speech about Brexit and presented herself as a strong leader with a “great national mission” to take the United Kingdom out of the European Union.

Speaking in the North East, she said: “I am confident that we can fulfil the promise of Brexit together and build a Britain that is stronger, fairer and even more prosperous than it is today.

“Because the promise of Brexit is great – the opportunities before us enormous.”

Labour attacked Mrs May for failing to take part in a TV debate on Wednesday night. A spokesperson for Jeremy Corbyn said: “Theresa May won’t even debate her opponents here in the UK, in an election she called. How on earth can she be trusted to negotiate in Europe and get the best deal for the British people?”

Labour and Conservatives neck and neck in Scotland

Labour is running neck-and-neck with the Tories in Scotland, with both parties attracting around 25% of the vote, a new opinion poll has indicated.

While the latest Ipsos Mori findings for STV put the SNP out in front with backing from 43% of Scots certain to vote – down from its 2015 result of 50% – Scottish Labour and the Scottish Conservatives are tied on 25% each.

Labour used to dominate Scotland, but lost seats to the SNP at the last election.

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn during a General Election campaign visit to the Rivermead Leisure Centre in Reading

With just one Westminster seat each in Scotland, both Labour and the Tories are targeting gains from the SNP, which secured 56 of the 59 constituencies north of the border in the last general election.

The poll is a boost for Labour, with previous surveys suggesting its vote share could drop from the 24.3% it secured in Scotland in 2015 to as low as 13%.

Approval ratings for the party leaders indicate Mrs May is more unpopular in Scotland than Mr Corbyn, with the former scoring a satisfaction rating of -27 and the latter -13.

Voters were split on which of the leaders would make the “most capable Prime Minister”, with 42% backing Mrs May and 40% opting for Mr Corbyn.

Theresa May says the only poll that matters is the one on June 8

Theresa May has played down polling that puts her on course to lose the General Election.

The Prime Minister insisted the only poll that matters is the June 8 vote, after a seat projection study suggested the UK faces a hung parliament.

The constituency-by-constituency estimate for The Times by YouGov indicates the Conservative Party could lose 20 seats and see its majority wiped out, while Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour may gain 28 seats.

The analysis is based on a complex model and suggests Mrs May’s gamble of calling a snap election in the hope of a landslide win could backfire spectacularly.

Prime Minister Theresa May on the election campaign trail in the village of Crathes, Aberdeenshire.

The study also found that Conservatives are unlikely to make any general election gains in Birmingham.

And they will also fail to win many Black Country seats they had been banking on, according to the YouGov “model”.

During a visit to Plymouth Fisheries, where she met local fishermen, Mrs May said: “The only poll that matters is the one that’s going to take place on June 8 and then people will have a choice as to who they want to see as leader, who they want to see as prime minister taking this country forward in the future, me or Jeremy Corbyn.”

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