If the 2020 presidential election were held today, President Donald Trump likely wouldn’t be the winner.
According to an early 2020 presidential poll from Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling, Trump trails all potential Democratic candidates as well as world famous actor Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, who has starred in “Baywatch,” “The Fate of the Furious,” and “San Andreas,” among others.
First, the Democratic candidates
The survey found that Trump trails former Vice President Joe Biden by a 14-point margin — 54 percent to 40 percent — and trails 2016 Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) by a similar margin, 13 points — 52 percent to 39 percent.
The poll also found that 15 percent of voters who voted for Trump in 2016 would instead choose Sanders in 2020 and 14 percent would instead choose Biden.
In addition, the poll found that Trump trails potential Democratic candidates Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) 49 percent to 39 percent, Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) 46 percent to 38 percent and Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) 46 percent to 39 percent.
Now “The Rock”
Johnson, who according to the National Review is a registered Republican, would also beat Trump, according to the survey. It found that voters would choose Johnson over Trump by a 5-point margin, 42 percent to 37 percent.
However, the poll also found that voters overwhelmingly don’t know who Johnson is — only 36 percent said they see him favorably, 13 percent said they view him unfavorably while a majority, 50 percent, said they didn’t know he is — so the margin between Johnson-Trump is likely skewed in Trump’s favor simply because he has better name recognition than Johnson.
The survey also found that Johnson would win over 15 percent of voters who affirmed Trump in last year’s presidential contest with Hillary Clinton.
Rumblings about Johnson running for president began last year after the country witnessed Trump’s rise to political prominence, who prior to running for the White House, had zero political experience. Many political experts now believe that another media superstar, like Johnson, could also successfully become president.
Johnson last addressed the rumblings on Twitter Monday, thanking a National Review writer for writing an “insightful” article on his potential to run for the White House in 2020:
— Dwayne Johnson (@TheRock) May 15, 2017
What it means for Trump
The early poll paints a dark picture for Trump. It shows that despite having no real leader or party message, major Democratic figures are already seen as more formidable candidates for the White House. It also shows that Trump could likely lose the presidency in the same way that he won it: through a superstar with zero political experience.
Indeed, despite the political mystery surrounding Johnson — including the fact his policy positions aren’t known — Johnson would likely prove to be a tough candidate for Trump, given his worldwide support and off-screen temperament that is opposite of Trump’s.
If Trump wants to find success in 2020, he will likely need to find a different strategy than the one he employed in 2016, when he used his bombastic clout and lack of political experience to his advantage. Now, as president, Trump has a political record that voters will use to judge him at the ballot box.
And with Trump’s early approval ratings still the worst for any president in history, the PPP survey appears to show that Trump has some major work ahead of him if he wants to find political success beyond 2016.