U.S. President Donald Trump will not be impeached and any discussion about impeachment distracts the public from the real political issues at hand.
Talk of impeachment may be entertaining but it really just adds more confusion to the most politically volatile situation in the free world.
The only way Trump will no longer be president is if he decides to resign or if he dies in office.
Neither is likely to happen.
Trump is a political novice who continues to shoot himself in the foot.
He is a political neophyte whose unconventional campaign tactics served him well in getting elected – but undermine his ability to govern.
While I feel sorry for both Americans and Canadians who suffer from his amateur hour antics he has a mandate to govern. So fasten your seat belts folks – Trump is president and he is here to stay.
In the 228 years since the inauguration of George Washington as the first U.S. president, no president has ever been removed from office by impeachment and conviction.
To be impeached and removed from office, Article II of the U.S. Constitution states in Section 4 that: “The President, Vice President and all civil Officers of the United States shall be removed from Office on Impeachment for, and conviction of, Treason, Bribery or other High Crimes and Misdemeanors.”
The House of Representatives holds the power of impeaching while the Senate holds the power to try the impeachment. If the Senate votes in favour of impeachment, the president is removed from office and there is no review or appeal.
Presidents Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton were impeached by the House of Representatives but the Senate acquitted them both.
Some experts are comparing Trump to president Richard Nixon but the cases are not the same.
The burglars caught in the Watergate building were arrested in June, 1972. Nixon undertook steps to cover up the true nature of the burglary and tried to stop the Federal Bureau of Investigation from investigating the crime.
Nixon made recordings of his conversations about the cover up. It was his own recordings that, once made public, forced him to resign in August, 1974.
Nixon was not impeached – he resigned because it was 100% clear and evident he had broken the law.
Trump acts as president as he did in business. He is cavalier and acts like there are no consequences for any of his actions.
In business, if he didn’t get what he wanted he would fight in the courts, or move on to the next project, city or country.
As president, there is only one sandbox – and Trump has to play in it for four years. There are now real consequences for his actions and mistakes. There is also accountability.
For Trump to be impeached, he must do something criminal that your kids would know was the wrong thing to do – kill someone, steal money, wantonly subvert justice.
And that is not going to happen.
Trump also isn’t going to be impeached on some kind of technicality, such as a memo by a possibly disgruntled former employee, released after he is fired.
And Trump isn’t stupid. He will not allow himself to be recorded doing or saying something criminal.
Trump will be judged by the Republicans after the next set of mid-term elections in 2018.
If the Republicans lose control of both houses of Congress, then there would be a move, and enormous pressure, to get him to resign from his own party.
But in the interim, Trump will not be impeached.
His political opponents should focus their time and energy on tactics that could actually get the results they want.