Who will win General Election 2017? Latest polls as Theresa May takes on Jeremy Corbyn in battle for Prime Minister

BRITS are set to head to the polls on June 8, with Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn battling it out to become Prime Minister.

At the time of May’s snap General Election announcement the Tories were 15 points ahead, but how has that changed now campaigning is underway?

Theresa May is well ahead in the polls, but will that convert to a big victory on polling day?


Theresa May is well ahead in the polls, but will that convert to a big victory on election day?

What do the latest polls say?

Latest: Thursday, May 18

Labour jumped up eight points in a boost for leader Jeremy Corbyn while Ukip collapsed to a humiliating two per cent, according to a new survey by Ipsos MORI.

Despite the surge for Labour which saw its share increase to 34 per cent after its manifesto launch, the Tories are still on course for a major victory on 49 per cent.

The telephone poll, conducted for the Evening Standard, revealed that the Liberal Democrats are third on seven per cent.

Six in 10 people surveyed still said that Labour is not ready to govern.

Gideon Skinner, head of political polling at Ipsos MORI, told the Evening Standard:  “Labour shouldn’t get too carried away by the rise they see in the polls.

“The focus on their manifesto may have helped them this week, but on many fundamentals such as leadership the public still puts them a long way behind the Conservatives, and their vote is much softer, with one in six of their supporters considering voting for Theresa May’s party.”

Tuesday May 16

A YouGov poll suggests the Conservatives will become the biggest party in almost every area of Britain.

Jeremy Corbyn’s unpopularity means that Labour has fallen behind the Tories even in areas such as Yorkshire and Wales.

Labour is winning only in London, with 41 per cent to the Tories’ 36 per cent, and in the North-East where the party has 42 per cent and the Conservatives are on 40 per cent.

The SNP continues to dominate in Scotland, with 41 per cent of the vote, but the Tories have surged into second place with 28 per cent – nearly double the vote they won in 2015.

The biggest rise in Conservative support in any English region comes in the North-East, where the party has gone from 25 per cent to 40 over the past two years.

The Tories’ contrasting fortunes in the North compared to London suggest that their success is being driven by Brexit supporters who voted Labour in previous elections.

It means the party is set to pick up new seats in areas currently dominated by Labour – as opposed to merely increasing its share of the votes in seats with Tory incumbents.

Meanwhile, a separate YouGov survey found that nearly a quarter of Labour voters do not want to see Mr Corbyn become Prime Minister.

Ukip have been the main losers with support sinking down into the three to six per cent range.


NORTH-EAST: Conservatives 40% (25% in 2015), Labour 42% (47% in 2015)
NORTH-WEST: Conservatives 42% (31%), Labour 42% (45%)
YORKSHIRE & THE HUMBER: Conservatives 43% (33%), Labour 38% (39%)
EAST MIDLANDS: Conservatives 54% (44%), Labour 28% (32%)
WEST MIDLANDS: Conservatives 51% (42%), Labour 28% (33%)
EAST OF ENGLAND: Conservatives 56% (49%), Labour 19% (22%)
LONDON: Conservatives 36% (35%), Labour 41% (44%)
SOUTH-EAST: Conservatives 56% (51%), Labour 19% (18%)
SOUTH-WEST: Conservatives 52% (47%), Labour 22% (18%)
WALES: Conservatives 41% (27%), Labour 35% (37%)
SCOTLAND: Conservatives 28% (15%), Labour 18% (24%), SNP 41% (50%)

Source: YouGov

The Conservatives are ahead or neck-and-neck in every region of Britain except London, the North-East and Scotland

The Conservatives are ahead or neck-and-neck in every region of Britain except London, the North-East and Scotland; this map shows how the political landscape has changed since the last election

Wednesday May 10

The Tories secured a 17 percentage point lead over Labour a month before Britons vote in the election, a poll from market research company Panelbase found.

Panelbase said support for the Conservatives rose by one per cent to 48 per cent compared with a poll it carried out last week.

Support for Labour also rose by one point to 31 per cent.

Ukip remained unchanged at five per cent, but support for the Lib Dems sank by two per cent to eight per cent.

Monday May 8

Data from ICM found Mrs May’s Conservatives had opened up a record lead over Labour.

The research for The Guardian showed the Tories on 49 per cent, with Labour lagging behind on 27 per cent.

If that poll is replicated on June 8, it could give Mrs May a majority of more than 170.

Thursday May 4

According to a new poll published in The Times, Theresa May has rocketed ahead.

May enjoyed a lead of 28 points over Corbyn in the poll, which asked voters who would make the better Prime Minister.

The poll put the Conservatives on 48 per cent – up four points compared to last year – with Labour dropping two points to 29.

Tuesday May 2

A Britain Elects poll makes damning reading for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party.

It has the Tories out on 46 per cent – 19 per cent ahead of Labour on 27 per cent.

The Lib Dems have eked out 11 per cent while Ukip have dipped to seven per cent.

Sunday April 30

A poll for the Sunday Times over the April 30 weekend found that the Tories had a 13-point lead, with 44% of the vote.

The survey, taken by YouGov for the paper, found that of a sample of more than 1,600 adults, Labour was holding 31% while UKIP held 6% and Other held 8%.


The poll shows that Labour is lagging behind the Tories by 19 per cent

A poll by ICM suggested that there was an even bigger gap between the two major parties, giving the Conservatives a 47 per cent majority over Labour’s 30 per cent.

Another poll published by Opinium over the weekend indicated that the Conservatives were sitting at 47 per cent of the vote, while Labour was hanging onto 30 per cent.

The research suggested that Corbyn had one of his best weeks and while the Tory lead dropped slightly, May’s popularity remained high.

Friday April 28

The Conservative lead over Labour has shrunk by seven points, a new poll for The Times has indicated.

The YouGov poll showed support for the Tories at 45 per cent, down three percentage points from last week.

Labour increased its support by four points to 29 per cent, while the Liberal Democrats were down two points to 10 per cent.

Monday April 24

The Tories have seen a surge in support in Labour’s heartland of Wales with a new poll projecting they will poach 10 seats from their rivals.

The ITV survey has them on 40 per cent, up 12 points, and would give Theresa May’s party a majority in the country for the first time since 1918 – and a whopping overall majority of 150.

This is the first time pollsters YouGov have had the Conservatives ahead in Wales, leaping to a 10 point lead as Labour falls to just 30 per cent support.

National opinion polls are currently giving the Tories a lead of around 20 percentage points over Labour as of April 25.


Sunday April 23

One shocking poll suggested Theresa May could get 50 per cent of the votes in the General Election, which would give her a bigger majority on June than Tony Blair had in 1997.

The Sunday Mirror figures made grim reading for Jeremy Corbyn, after the question of who would make the best PM saw Mrs May winning with a whopping 62 per cent share.

In an Opinium poll for the Observer the Tories soared t0 45 per cent, moving from a lead of nine to 19 per cent over Labour since Mrs May called the bombshell vote on June 8.

A third poll released on the same morning by YouGov for The Sunday Times gave the PM a commanding 23-point lead over Labour – 48 to 25 per cent – putting the Tories on course for a whopping three-figure majority.

Ukip leader Paul Nuttall hopes to keep his party strong during the election

Getty Images

Ukip leader Paul Nuttall hopes to keep his party strong during the election

What did the polls say on April 18 when election was announced?

The day before the election was called The Sun reported that some polls had Jeremy Corbyn’s party a whopping 21 points behind Theresa May’s.

The lead was the largest held by a government in more than 30 years.

On the day election was announced, polling expert Professor John Curtice said on average analysts were giving Theresa May a 15 point lead on rival Jeremy Corbyn, with some going even higher.

Mr Curtice warned that the Prime Minister may have a battle on her hands to win the few marginal seats up for grabs.

“I think the more complicated question is to what extent will people depart from their usual party support because of their views on Brexit?”, he said.

“That’s not a problem for the Lib Dems or Ukip because they were both united at their different ends of the argument.

“But it might be for the Tories and Labour.”

Our map shows the current political picture and the key battle areas that could change hands on June 8

Our map shows the current political picture and the key battle areas that could change hands on June 8
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